198 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 25.0% (177 seats).
Hover the chart to read every party's share for a given poll.
Seats projected from the aggregate vote share using the largest remainder method. A projection is not a forecast: it assumes a uniform national swing.
| Date | Pollster | Poll | Lab | Con | Ref | LD | Grn |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2026 | Ipsos | Westminster Voting Intentions | 28% | 18% | 25% | 9% | 12% |
| 11 Aug 2026 | YouGov | Westminster Voting intention | 24% | 21% | 22% | 11% | 12% |
| 05 Aug 2026 | More in Common | Westminister Voting Intention | 27% | 22% | 24% | 10% | 9% |
| 05 Aug 2026 | YouGov | Westminster voting intention figures | 22% | 19% | 23% | 12% | 13% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | More in Common | Headline Voting Intention | 28% | 22% | 24% | 12% | 8% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 20 July 2026 | 20% | 21% | 23% | 12% | 14% |
| 13 Jul 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 13 July 2026 | 19% | 19% | 24% | 13% | 15% |
| 06 Jul 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 06 July 2026 | 20% | 21% | 25% | 12% | 13% |
| 29 Jun 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 29 June 2026 | 20% | 20% | 24% | 13% | 13% |
| 22 Jun 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 22 June 2026 | 18% | 20% | 25% | 14% | 15% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 15 June 2026 | 19% | 19% | 24% | 13% | 15% |
| 08 Jun 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 08 June 2026 | 19% | 19% | 25% | 12% | 14% |
| 01 Jun 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 01 June 2026 | 18% | 18% | 27% | 13% | 15% |
| 26 May 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 26 May 2026 | 17% | 19% | 24% | 14% | 16% |
| 18 May 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 18 May 2026 | 17% | 18% | 25% | 14% | 15% |
| 11 May 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 11 May 2026 | 16% | 17% | 28% | 13% | 16% |
| 05 May 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 05 May 2026 | 18% | 17% | 25% | 14% | 15% |
| 27 Apr 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 27 April 2026 | 18% | 19% | 26% | 13% | 15% |
| 20 Apr 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 20 April 2026 | 16% | 17% | 27% | 14% | 17% |
| 13 Apr 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 13 April 2026 | 17% | 19% | 24% | 13% | 18% |
| 07 Apr 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 07 April 2026 | 16% | 19% | 24% | 13% | 16% |
| 30 Mar 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 30 March 2026 | 18% | 19% | 23% | 12% | 19% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 23 March 2026 | 19% | 17% | 23% | 13% | 18% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 16 March 2026 | 17% | 17% | 25% | 14% | 19% |
| 10 Mar 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 10 March 2026 | 17% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 19% |
| 02 Mar 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 02 March 2026 | 16% | 16% | 23% | 14% | 21% |
| 23 Feb 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 23 February 2026 | 18% | 18% | 24% | 14% | 17% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 16 February 2026 | 19% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 17% |
| 09 Feb 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 09 February 2026 | 19% | 18% | 27% | 14% | 16% |
| 02 Feb 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 02 February 2026 | 19% | 18% | 26% | 14% | 17% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 26 January 2026 | 21% | 17% | 25% | 14% | 16% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 19 January 2026 | 19% | 18% | 24% | 14% | 17% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 12 January 2026 | 19% | 20% | 24% | 16% | 14% |
| 05 Jan 2026 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 05 January 2026 | 17% | 19% | 26% | 16% | 15% |
| 22 Dec 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 22 December 2025 | 20% | 19% | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 15 December 2025 | 18% | 17% | 28% | 14% | 17% |
| 08 Dec 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 08 December 2025 | 19% | 18% | 27% | 14% | 15% |
| 01 Dec 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 01 December 2025 | 19% | 19% | 26% | 14% | 16% |
| 24 Nov 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 24 November 2025 | 19% | 18% | 25% | 15% | 16% |
| 17 Nov 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 17 November 2025 | 19% | 17% | 27% | 13% | 17% |
| 10 Nov 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 10 November 2025 | 19% | 18% | 26% | 14% | 15% |
| 03 Nov 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 03 November 2025 | 20% | 16% | 27% | 15% | 16% |
| 27 Oct 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 27 October 2025 | 17% | 17% | 27% | 15% | 16% |
| 20 Oct 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 20 October 2025 | 20% | 17% | 26% | 15% | 15% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 13 October 2025 | 20% | 17% | 27% | 16% | 13% |
| 06 Oct 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 06 October 2025 | 20% | 17% | 27% | 17% | 12% |
| 30 Sep 2025 | IPOS | Voting intention - September 2025 | 22% | 14% | 34% | 12% | 12% |
| 29 Sep 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 29 September 2025 | 22% | 16% | 29% | 15% | 11% |
| 22 Sep 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 22 September 2025 | 21% | 16% | 29% | 14% | 12% |
| 15 Sep 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 15 September 2025 | 20% | 17% | 29% | 15% | 10% |
| 08 Sep 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 08 September 2025 | 22% | 17% | 27% | 15% | 12% |
| 01 Sep 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 01 September 2025 | 20% | 17% | 29% | 15% | 10% |
| 26 Aug 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 26 August 2025 | 20% | 17% | 28% | 16% | 11% |
| 18 Aug 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 18 August 2025 | 21% | 18% | 28% | 15% | 10% |
| 11 Aug 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 11 August 2025 | 21% | 17% | 28% | 16% | 10% |
| 04 Aug 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 04 August 2025 | 21% | 17% | 27% | 15% | 11% |
| 28 Jul 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 28 July 2025 | 22% | 17% | 29% | 14% | 11% |
| 21 Jul 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 21 July 2025 | 23% | 17% | 27% | 15% | 11% |
| 14 Jul 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 14 July 2025 | 22% | 17% | 28% | 16% | 12% |
| 07 Jul 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 07 July 2025 | 24% | 16% | 26% | 15% | 11% |
| 30 Jun 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 30 June 2025 | 24% | 17% | 26% | 16% | 10% |
| 23 Jun 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 23 June 2025 | 23% | 17% | 27% | 16% | 10% |
| 16 Jun 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 16 June 2025 | 24% | 17% | 27% | 15% | 10% |
| 09 Jun 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 09 June 2025 | 23% | 17% | 29% | 15% | 10% |
| 02 Jun 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 02 June 2025 | 22% | 18% | 28% | 17% | 9% |
| 27 May 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 27 May 2025 | 21% | 19% | 29% | 15% | 11% |
| 19 May 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 19 May 2025 | 22% | 16% | 29% | 17% | 10% |
| 12 May 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 12 May 2025 | 23% | 18% | 28% | 16% | 9% |
| 06 May 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 06 May 2025 | 22% | 17% | 29% | 16% | 10% |
| 28 Apr 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 28 April 2025 | 23% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 9% |
| 22 Apr 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 22 April 2025 | 23% | 20% | 24% | 16% | 10% |
| 14 Apr 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 14 April 2025 | 24% | 21% | 23% | 14% | 11% |
| 07 Apr 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 07 April 2025 | 24% | 22% | 23% | 17% | 9% |
| 31 Mar 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 31 March 2025 | 24% | 21% | 23% | 14% | 11% |
| 24 Mar 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 24 March 2025 | 23% | 22% | 22% | 16% | 10% |
| 17 Mar 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 17 March 2025 | 26% | 22% | 24% | 14% | 9% |
| 10 Mar 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 10 March 2025 | 24% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% |
| 03 Mar 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 03 March 2025 | 26% | 21% | 25% | 14% | 9% |
| 24 Feb 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 24 February 2025 | 24% | 22% | 25% | 16% | 8% |
| 17 Feb 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 17 February 2025 | 25% | 21% | 27% | 14% | 9% |
| 10 Feb 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 10 February 2025 | 25% | 21% | 26% | 14% | 9% |
| 03 Feb 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 03 February 2025 | 24% | 21% | 25% | 14% | 9% |
| 27 Jan 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 27 January 2025 | 27% | 22% | 23% | 14% | 9% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 20 January 2025 | 26% | 22% | 24% | 14% | 9% |
| 13 Jan 2025 | YouGov | YouGov voting intention, 13 January 2025 | 26% | 22% | 25% | 14% | 8% |