YouGov voting intention, 10 February 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 169 of 650 seats on 26.0%, ahead of Labour on 25.0% (163 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
26.0%
169 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour
25.0%
163 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative
21.0%
137 seats
―
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91 seats
―
Green
9.0%
59 seats
―
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
―
Other parties
2.0%
12 seats
▼ 1.0
2 more
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Other
1.0%
6 seats
▼ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 25.0% | 163 |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 137 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 91 |
| Reform UK | 26.0% | 169 |
| Green | 9.0% | 59 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 1.0% | 6 |