Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
174 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Labour on 25.0% (161 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 17 February 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
27.0%
174 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
25.0%
161 seats―
Conservative
21.0%
135 seats―
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90 seats―
Green
9.0%
58 seats―
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Other parties
2.0%
13 seats―
2 more
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Other
1.0%
7 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 10 Feb 2025.
Reform UK27.0%
174 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour25.0%
161 seats
―
Conservative21.0%
135 seats
―
Liberal Democrats14.0%
90 seats
―
Green9.0%
58 seats
―
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
Other1.0%
7 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
25.0%
161
Conservative
21.0%
135
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90
Reform UK
27.0%
174
Green
9.0%
58
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
1.0%
7
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,820 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).