Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
164 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Conservative on 18.0% (118 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 18 May 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
25.0%
164 seats▼ 3.0
Conservative
18.0%
118 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
17.0%
112 seats▲ 1.0
Green
15.0%
98 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92 seats▲ 1.0
Other
6.0%
39 seats▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
27 seats▼ 1.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats▼ 1.0
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 11 May 2026.
Reform UK25.0%
164 seats
▼ 3.0
Conservative18.0%
118 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour17.0%
112 seats
▲ 1.0
Green15.0%
98 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats14.0%
92 seats
▲ 1.0
Other6.0%
39 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
7 seats
▼ 1.0
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
17.0%
112
Conservative
18.0%
118
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92
Reform UK
25.0%
164
Green
15.0%
98
SNP
3.0%
20
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
6.0%
39
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,778 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).