YouGov voting intention, 18 May 2026
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 164 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Conservative on 18.0% (118 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
25.0%
164 seats
▼ 3.0
Conservative
18.0%
118 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour
17.0%
112 seats
▲ 1.0
Green
15.0%
98 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92 seats
▲ 1.0
Other
6.0%
39 seats
▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
27 seats
▼ 1.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats
▼ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 17.0% | 112 |
| Conservative | 18.0% | 118 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 92 |
| Reform UK | 25.0% | 164 |
| Green | 15.0% | 98 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 7 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 6.0% | 39 |