YouGov voting intention, 10 March 2026
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 149 of 650 seats on 23.0%, ahead of Conservative on 19.0% (124 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
23.0%
149 seats
―
Conservative
19.0%
124 seats
▲ 3.0
Green
19.0%
123 seats
▼ 2.0
Labour
17.0%
111 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91 seats
―
Other
4.0%
26 seats
▼ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats
―
2 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats
▲ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 17.0% | 111 |
| Conservative | 19.0% | 124 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 91 |
| Reform UK | 23.0% | 149 |
| Green | 19.0% | 123 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2.0% | 13 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 26 |