Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
149 of 650 seats on 23.0%, ahead of Conservative on 19.0% (124 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 10 March 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
23.0%
149 seats―
Conservative
19.0%
124 seats▲ 3.0
Green
19.0%
123 seats▼ 2.0
Labour
17.0%
111 seats▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91 seats―
Other
4.0%
26 seats▼ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats―
2 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats▲ 1.0
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 02 Mar 2026.
Reform UK23.0%
149 seats
―
Conservative19.0%
124 seats
▲ 3.0
Green19.0%
123 seats
▼ 2.0
Labour17.0%
111 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats14.0%
91 seats
―
Other4.0%
26 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru2.0%
13 seats
▲ 1.0
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
17.0%
111
Conservative
19.0%
124
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91
Reform UK
23.0%
149
Green
19.0%
123
SNP
2.0%
13
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
4.0%
26
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,635 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).