YouGov voting intention, 01 December 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 169 of 650 seats on 26.0%, ahead of Conservative on 19.0% (124 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
26.0%
169 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour
19.0%
124 seats
―
Conservative
19.0%
124 seats
▲ 1.0
Green
16.0%
104 seats
―
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
―
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats
▼ 1.0
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 19.0% | 124 |
| Conservative | 19.0% | 124 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 91 |
| Reform UK | 26.0% | 169 |
| Green | 16.0% | 104 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 2.0% | 13 |