Voting intention - September 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 221 of 650 seats on 34.0%, ahead of Labour on 22.0% (143 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
34.0%
221 seats
▲ 5.0
Labour
22.0%
143 seats
―
Conservative
14.0%
91 seats
▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
12.0%
78 seats
▼ 3.0
Green
12.0%
78 seats
▲ 1.0
Other
6.0%
39 seats
▲ 3.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 22.0% | 143 |
| Conservative | 14.0% | 91 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12.0% | 78 |
| Reform UK | 34.0% | 221 |
| Green | 12.0% | 78 |
| SNP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0% | 0 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 6.0% | 39 |