Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
188 of 650 seats on 29.0%, ahead of Labour on 23.0% (150 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 09 June 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
29.0%
188 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
23.0%
150 seats▲ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
111 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98 seats▼ 2.0
Green
10.0%
65 seats▲ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats―
2 more
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats▲ 1.0
Other
1.0%
6 seats▼ 1.0
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 02 Jun 2025.
Reform UK29.0%
188 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour23.0%
150 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative17.0%
111 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats15.0%
98 seats
▼ 2.0
Green10.0%
65 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru2.0%
13 seats
▲ 1.0
Other1.0%
6 seats
▼ 1.0
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
23.0%
150
Conservative
17.0%
111
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98
Reform UK
29.0%
188
Green
10.0%
65
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
1.0%
6
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,611 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).