Ipsos
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 223 of 650 seats on 32.0%, ahead of Conservative on 24.0% (168 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
32.0%
223 seats
▲ 6.0
Conservative
24.0%
168 seats
▲ 3.0
Reform UK
20.0%
140 seats
―
Liberal Democrats
9.0%
63 seats
―
Green
8.0%
56 seats
▼ 5.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 32.0% | 223 |
| Conservative | 24.0% | 168 |
| Liberal Democrats | 9.0% | 63 |
| Reform UK | 20.0% | 140 |
| Green | 8.0% | 56 |
| SNP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0% | 0 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 0.0% | 0 |