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Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 163 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Labour on 22.0% (143 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
25.0%
163 seats
▼ 2.0
Labour
22.0%
143 seats
▼ 8.0
Conservative
20.0%
130 seats
―
Green
13.0%
85 seats
▲ 5.0
Liberal Democrats
11.0%
72 seats
▲ 3.0
Other
5.0%
32 seats
▲ 2.0
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats
―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 22.0% | 143 |
| Conservative | 20.0% | 130 |
| Liberal Democrats | 11.0% | 72 |
| Reform UK | 25.0% | 163 |
| Green | 13.0% | 85 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 5.0% | 32 |