Deltapoll
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 195 of 650 seats on 30.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 27.0% (176 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
30.0%
195 seats
▲ 8.0
Reform UK
27.0%
176 seats
▲ 4.0
Conservative
20.0%
130 seats
―
Liberal Democrats
8.0%
52 seats
▼ 5.0
Green
8.0%
52 seats
▼ 5.0
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
―
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats
▲ 3.0
2 more
Other
3.0%
19 seats
▲ 3.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 30.0% | 195 |
| Conservative | 20.0% | 130 |
| Liberal Democrats | 8.0% | 52 |
| Reform UK | 27.0% | 176 |
| Green | 8.0% | 52 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 3.0% | 19 |