Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
180 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Labour on 21.0% (135 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 11 August 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
28.0%
180 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
21.0%
135 seats―
Conservative
17.0%
110 seats―
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
103 seats▲ 1.0
Green
10.0%
64 seats▼ 1.0
Other
5.0%
32 seats▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 04 Aug 2025.
Reform UK28.0%
180 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour21.0%
135 seats
―
Conservative17.0%
110 seats
―
Liberal Democrats16.0%
103 seats
▲ 1.0
Green10.0%
64 seats
▼ 1.0
Other5.0%
32 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
7 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
21.0%
135
Conservative
17.0%
110
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
103
Reform UK
28.0%
180
Green
10.0%
64
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
5.0%
32
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,827 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).