Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
180 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Labour on 23.0% (148 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 12 May 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
28.0%
180 seats▼ 1.0
Labour
23.0%
148 seats▲ 1.0
Conservative
18.0%
116 seats▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
103 seats―
Green
9.0%
58 seats▼ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats▲ 2.0
2 more
Other
3.0%
19 seats▲ 2.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 06 May 2025.
Reform UK28.0%
180 seats
▼ 1.0
Labour23.0%
148 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative18.0%
116 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats16.0%
103 seats
―
Green9.0%
58 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Other3.0%
19 seats
▲ 2.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
7 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
23.0%
148
Conservative
18.0%
116
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
103
Reform UK
28.0%
180
Green
9.0%
58
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
3.0%
19
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,698 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).