YouGov voting intention, 12 May 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 180 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Labour on 23.0% (148 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
28.0%
180 seats
▼ 1.0
Labour
23.0%
148 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative
18.0%
116 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
103 seats
―
Green
9.0%
58 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
―
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats
▲ 2.0
2 more
Other
3.0%
19 seats
▲ 2.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 23.0% | 148 |
| Conservative | 18.0% | 116 |
| Liberal Democrats | 16.0% | 103 |
| Reform UK | 28.0% | 180 |
| Green | 9.0% | 58 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 7 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 3.0% | 19 |