YouGov voting intention, 15 December 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 180 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Labour on 18.0% (116 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
28.0%
180 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour
18.0%
116 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
109 seats
▼ 1.0
Green
17.0%
109 seats
▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90 seats
―
SNP
4.0%
26 seats
▲ 1.0
Other parties
3.0%
20 seats
▼ 1.0
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats
▼ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 18.0% | 116 |
| Conservative | 17.0% | 109 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 90 |
| Reform UK | 28.0% | 180 |
| Green | 17.0% | 109 |
| SNP | 4.0% | 26 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 7 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 2.0% | 13 |