Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
180 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Labour on 18.0% (116 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 15 December 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
28.0%
180 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
18.0%
116 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
109 seats▼ 1.0
Green
17.0%
109 seats▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90 seats―
SNP
4.0%
26 seats▲ 1.0
Other parties
3.0%
20 seats▼ 1.0
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats▼ 1.0
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 08 Dec 2025.
Reform UK28.0%
180 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour18.0%
116 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative17.0%
109 seats
▼ 1.0
Green17.0%
109 seats
▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats14.0%
90 seats
―
SNP4.0%
26 seats
▲ 1.0
Other2.0%
13 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
7 seats
▼ 1.0
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
18.0%
116
Conservative
17.0%
109
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90
Reform UK
28.0%
180
Green
17.0%
109
SNP
4.0%
26
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
2.0%
13
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,656 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).