Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
174 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Labour on 19.0% (122 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 09 February 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
27.0%
174 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
19.0%
122 seats―
Conservative
18.0%
116 seats―
Green
16.0%
103 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90 seats―
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats―
2 more
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats―
Other
2.0%
13 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 02 Feb 2026.
Reform UK27.0%
174 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour19.0%
122 seats
―
Conservative18.0%
116 seats
―
Green16.0%
103 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats14.0%
90 seats
―
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru2.0%
13 seats
―
Other2.0%
13 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
19.0%
122
Conservative
18.0%
116
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90
Reform UK
27.0%
174
Green
16.0%
103
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
2.0%
13
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,840 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).