YouGov voting intention, 09 February 2026
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 174 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Labour on 19.0% (122 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
27.0%
174 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour
19.0%
122 seats
―
Conservative
18.0%
116 seats
―
Green
16.0%
103 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90 seats
―
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
―
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats
―
2 more
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats
―
Other
2.0%
13 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 19.0% | 122 |
| Conservative | 18.0% | 116 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 90 |
| Reform UK | 27.0% | 174 |
| Green | 16.0% | 103 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2.0% | 13 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 2.0% | 13 |