Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
156 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Conservative on 20.0% (130 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 29 June 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
24.0%
156 seats▼ 1.0
Labour
20.0%
130 seats▲ 2.0
Conservative
20.0%
130 seats―
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
85 seats▼ 1.0
Green
13.0%
85 seats▼ 2.0
Other
6.0%
39 seats▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 22 Jun 2026.
Reform UK24.0%
156 seats
▼ 1.0
Labour20.0%
130 seats
▲ 2.0
Conservative20.0%
130 seats
―
Liberal Democrats13.0%
85 seats
▼ 1.0
Green13.0%
85 seats
▼ 2.0
Other6.0%
39 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
20.0%
130
Conservative
20.0%
130
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
85
Reform UK
24.0%
156
Green
13.0%
85
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
6.0%
39
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,787 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).