Survation
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 195 of 650 seats on 30.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 24.0% (156 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
30.0%
195 seats
▲ 1.0
Reform UK
24.0%
156 seats
―
Conservative
19.0%
124 seats
▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
9.0%
58 seats
▼ 1.0
Green
8.0%
52 seats
▲ 1.0
Other
4.0%
26 seats
▲ 1.0
Other parties
6.0%
39 seats
―
3 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats
▲ 2.0
Restore Britain
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 2.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 30.0% | 195 |
| Conservative | 19.0% | 124 |
| Liberal Democrats | 9.0% | 58 |
| Reform UK | 24.0% | 156 |
| Green | 8.0% | 52 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2.0% | 13 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 2.0% | 13 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 26 |