Labour leads but falls short of a majority —
156 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 23.0% (149 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 31 March 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Labour
24.0%
156 seats▲ 1.0
Reform UK
23.0%
149 seats▲ 1.0
Conservative
21.0%
137 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91 seats▼ 2.0
Green
11.0%
72 seats▲ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats―
2 more
Other
3.0%
20 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 24 Mar 2025.
Labour24.0%
156 seats
▲ 1.0
Reform UK23.0%
149 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative21.0%
137 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats14.0%
91 seats
▼ 2.0
Green11.0%
72 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Other3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
24.0%
156
Conservative
21.0%
137
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91
Reform UK
23.0%
149
Green
11.0%
72
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
3.0%
20
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,735 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).