Trajectory Partnership
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 197 of 650 seats on 30.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 22.0% (144 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
30.0%
197 seats
▲ 5.0
Reform UK
22.0%
144 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative
21.0%
138 seats
▲ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
10.0%
66 seats
▼ 1.0
Green
9.0%
59 seats
▼ 3.0
Restore Britain
3.0%
20 seats
▲ 3.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats
▼ 5.0
2 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Other
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 4.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 30.0% | 197 |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 138 |
| Liberal Democrats | 10.0% | 66 |
| Reform UK | 22.0% | 144 |
| Green | 9.0% | 59 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0% | 0 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 3.0% | 20 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 2.0% | 13 |