YouGov voting intention, 02 March 2026
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 151 of 650 seats on 23.0%, ahead of Green on 21.0% (138 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
23.0%
151 seats
▼ 1.0
Green
21.0%
138 seats
▲ 4.0
Labour
16.0%
105 seats
▼ 2.0
Conservative
16.0%
105 seats
▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92 seats
―
Other
5.0%
33 seats
▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats
―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 16.0% | 105 |
| Conservative | 16.0% | 105 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 92 |
| Reform UK | 23.0% | 151 |
| Green | 21.0% | 138 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 5.0% | 33 |