Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
151 of 650 seats on 23.0%, ahead of Green on 21.0% (138 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 02 March 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
23.0%
151 seats▼ 1.0
Green
21.0%
138 seats▲ 4.0
Labour
16.0%
105 seats▼ 2.0
Conservative
16.0%
105 seats▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92 seats―
Other
5.0%
33 seats▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 23 Feb 2026.
Reform UK23.0%
151 seats
▼ 1.0
Green21.0%
138 seats
▲ 4.0
Labour16.0%
105 seats
▼ 2.0
Conservative16.0%
105 seats
▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats14.0%
92 seats
―
Other5.0%
33 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
16.0%
105
Conservative
16.0%
105
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92
Reform UK
23.0%
151
Green
21.0%
138
SNP
3.0%
20
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
5.0%
33
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,545 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).