Lord Ashcroft Polls
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 200 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Conservative on 22.0% (157 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
28.0%
200 seats
▲ 4.0
Conservative
22.0%
157 seats
▲ 3.0
Reform UK
19.0%
136 seats
▼ 6.0
Green
14.0%
100 seats
▲ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
8.0%
57 seats
▼ 4.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 28.0% | 200 |
| Conservative | 22.0% | 157 |
| Liberal Democrats | 8.0% | 57 |
| Reform UK | 19.0% | 136 |
| Green | 14.0% | 100 |
| SNP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0% | 0 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 0.0% | 0 |