Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
161 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Labour on 24.0% (154 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 24 February 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
25.0%
161 seats▼ 2.0
Labour
24.0%
154 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
22.0%
142 seats▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
103 seats▲ 2.0
Green
8.0%
52 seats▼ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats▲ 1.0
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 17 Feb 2025.
Reform UK25.0%
161 seats
▼ 2.0
Labour24.0%
154 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative22.0%
142 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats16.0%
103 seats
▲ 2.0
Green8.0%
52 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Other2.0%
13 seats
▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
24.0%
154
Conservative
22.0%
142
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
103
Reform UK
25.0%
161
Green
8.0%
52
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
2.0%
13
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,795 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).