Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
161 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Conservative on 21.0% (135 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 06 July 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
25.0%
161 seats▲ 1.0
Conservative
21.0%
135 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
20.0%
129 seats―
Green
13.0%
84 seats―
Liberal Democrats
12.0%
77 seats▼ 1.0
Other
5.0%
32 seats▼ 1.0
Other parties
5.0%
32 seats▲ 1.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats▲ 1.0
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 29 Jun 2026.
Reform UK25.0%
161 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative21.0%
135 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour20.0%
129 seats
―
Green13.0%
84 seats
―
Liberal Democrats12.0%
77 seats
▼ 1.0
Other5.0%
32 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru2.0%
13 seats
▲ 1.0
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
20.0%
129
Conservative
21.0%
135
Liberal Democrats
12.0%
77
Reform UK
25.0%
161
Green
13.0%
84
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
5.0%
32
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,675 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).