Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
151 of 650 seats on 23.0%, ahead of Labour on 19.0% (125 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 23 March 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
23.0%
151 seats▼ 2.0
Labour
19.0%
125 seats▲ 2.0
Green
18.0%
118 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
112 seats―
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
85 seats▼ 1.0
SNP
4.0%
26 seats▲ 2.0
Other parties
5.0%
33 seats―
2 more
Other
4.0%
26 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 16 Mar 2026.
Reform UK23.0%
151 seats
▼ 2.0
Labour19.0%
125 seats
▲ 2.0
Green18.0%
118 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative17.0%
112 seats
―
Liberal Democrats13.0%
85 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP4.0%
26 seats
▲ 2.0
Other4.0%
26 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
7 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
19.0%
125
Conservative
17.0%
112
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
85
Reform UK
23.0%
151
Green
18.0%
118
SNP
4.0%
26
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
4.0%
26
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,723 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).