Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
149 of 650 seats on 23.0%, ahead of Conservative on 19.0% (124 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 30 March 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
23.0%
149 seats―
Conservative
19.0%
124 seats▲ 2.0
Green
19.0%
124 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
18.0%
117 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
12.0%
78 seats▼ 1.0
Other
5.0%
33 seats▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats▼ 1.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 23 Mar 2026.
Reform UK23.0%
149 seats
―
Conservative19.0%
124 seats
▲ 2.0
Green19.0%
124 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour18.0%
117 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats12.0%
78 seats
▼ 1.0
Other5.0%
33 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
18.0%
117
Conservative
19.0%
124
Liberal Democrats
12.0%
78
Reform UK
23.0%
149
Green
19.0%
124
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
5.0%
33
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 3,450 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).