YouGov voting intention, 13 January 2025
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 167 of 650 seats on 26.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 25.0% (161 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
26.0%
167 seats
Reform UK
25.0%
161 seats
Conservative
22.0%
142 seats
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90 seats
Green
8.0%
52 seats
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 26.0% | 167 |
| Conservative | 22.0% | 142 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 90 |
| Reform UK | 25.0% | 161 |
| Green | 8.0% | 52 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 2.0% | 13 |