Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
188 of 650 seats on 29.0%, ahead of Labour on 21.0% (137 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 27 May 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
29.0%
188 seats―
Labour
21.0%
137 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
19.0%
124 seats▲ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
97 seats▼ 2.0
Green
11.0%
72 seats▲ 1.0
SNP
2.0%
13 seats―
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats―
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 19 May 2025.
Reform UK29.0%
188 seats
―
Labour21.0%
137 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative19.0%
124 seats
▲ 3.0
Liberal Democrats15.0%
97 seats
▼ 2.0
Green11.0%
72 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP2.0%
13 seats
―
Other2.0%
13 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
21.0%
137
Conservative
19.0%
124
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
97
Reform UK
29.0%
188
Green
11.0%
72
SNP
2.0%
13
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
2.0%
13
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,524 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).