YouGov voting intention, 27 May 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 188 of 650 seats on 29.0%, ahead of Labour on 21.0% (137 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
29.0%
188 seats
―
Labour
21.0%
137 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative
19.0%
124 seats
▲ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
97 seats
▼ 2.0
Green
11.0%
72 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
―
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats
―
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 21.0% | 137 |
| Conservative | 19.0% | 124 |
| Liberal Democrats | 15.0% | 97 |
| Reform UK | 29.0% | 188 |
| Green | 11.0% | 72 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 2.0% | 13 |