YouGov voting intention, 07 April 2026
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 158 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Conservative on 19.0% (125 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
24.0%
158 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative
19.0%
125 seats
―
Labour
16.0%
105 seats
▼ 2.0
Green
16.0%
105 seats
▼ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
85 seats
▲ 1.0
Other
7.0%
46 seats
▲ 2.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats
―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 16.0% | 105 |
| Conservative | 19.0% | 125 |
| Liberal Democrats | 13.0% | 85 |
| Reform UK | 24.0% | 158 |
| Green | 16.0% | 105 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 7.0% | 46 |