YouGov voting intention, 06 October 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 174 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Labour on 20.0% (129 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
27.0%
174 seats
▼ 7.0
Labour
20.0%
129 seats
▼ 2.0
Conservative
17.0%
109 seats
▲ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
17.0%
109 seats
▲ 5.0
Green
12.0%
77 seats
―
SNP
4.0%
26 seats
▲ 4.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats
▼ 2.0
2 more
Other
3.0%
19 seats
▼ 3.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats
▲ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 20.0% | 129 |
| Conservative | 17.0% | 109 |
| Liberal Democrats | 17.0% | 109 |
| Reform UK | 27.0% | 174 |
| Green | 12.0% | 77 |
| SNP | 4.0% | 26 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 7 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 3.0% | 19 |