Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
174 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Labour on 20.0% (129 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 06 October 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
27.0%
174 seats▼ 2.0
Labour
20.0%
129 seats▼ 2.0
Conservative
17.0%
109 seats▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
17.0%
109 seats▲ 2.0
Green
12.0%
77 seats▲ 1.0
SNP
4.0%
26 seats▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats―
2 more
Other
3.0%
19 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 29 Sep 2025.
Reform UK27.0%
174 seats
▼ 2.0
Labour20.0%
129 seats
▼ 2.0
Conservative17.0%
109 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats17.0%
109 seats
▲ 2.0
Green12.0%
77 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP4.0%
26 seats
▲ 1.0
Other3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
7 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
20.0%
129
Conservative
17.0%
109
Liberal Democrats
17.0%
109
Reform UK
27.0%
174
Green
12.0%
77
SNP
4.0%
26
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
3.0%
19
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,721 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).