Survation
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 169 of 650 seats on 26.0%, ahead of Labour on 26.0% (169 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
26.0%
169 seats
▼ 3.0
Reform UK
26.0%
169 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative
18.0%
117 seats
▼ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
10.0%
65 seats
▲ 2.0
Green
10.0%
65 seats
▲ 2.0
Other
4.0%
26 seats
▲ 4.0
Other parties
6.0%
39 seats
▲ 6.0
3 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
▲ 3.0
Restore Britain
2.0%
13 seats
▲ 2.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
▲ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 26.0% | 169 |
| Conservative | 18.0% | 117 |
| Liberal Democrats | 10.0% | 65 |
| Reform UK | 26.0% | 169 |
| Green | 10.0% | 65 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 2.0% | 13 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 26 |