YouGov for The Times/Sky News
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 156 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 22.0% (143 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
24.0%
156 seats
▼ 3.0
Reform UK
22.0%
143 seats
▼ 2.0
Conservative
21.0%
137 seats
▲ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
12.0%
78 seats
▲ 2.0
Green
12.0%
78 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
―
Other parties
6.0%
38 seats
―
3 more
Restore Britain
3.0%
19 seats
▲ 3.0
Other
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 3.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 24.0% | 156 |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 137 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12.0% | 78 |
| Reform UK | 22.0% | 143 |
| Green | 12.0% | 78 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 3.0% | 19 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 2.0% | 13 |