UK FACT CHECK POLITICS
UK FACT CHECK POLITICS
Voting intention Labour Lab 30% Reform Ref 24% Con Con 22% Green Grn 8% Lib Dem LD 7% Poll tracker
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Freshwater Strategy for City AM

Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 202 of 650 seats on 29.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 23.0% (161 seats).

Freshwater Strategy Fieldwork 11 October 2026 View original source
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Labour
29.0%
202 seats ―
Reform UK
23.0%
161 seats ―
Conservative
22.0%
154 seats ▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
10.0%
70 seats ▲ 1.0
Green
9.0%
63 seats ―

Vote share

Share of the vote, with movement since Opinium on 09 Oct 2026.

Full results for all parties
Party Vote share Projected seats
Labour 29.0% 202
Conservative 22.0% 154
Liberal Democrats 10.0% 70
Reform UK 23.0% 161
Green 9.0% 63
SNP 0.0% 0
Plaid Cymru 0.0% 0
Sinn Féin 0.0% 0
DUP 0.0% 0
SDLP 0.0% 0
Alliance 0.0% 0
UUP 0.0% 0
Alba 0.0% 0
Restore Britain 0.0% 0
Independent 0.0% 0
Other 0.0% 0

Added automatically by the poll updater. Fieldwork 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-11. Sample size 1,235.