YouGov voting intention, 27 April 2026
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 169 of 650 seats on 26.0%, ahead of Conservative on 19.0% (124 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
26.0%
169 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative
19.0%
124 seats
▲ 2.0
Labour
18.0%
117 seats
▲ 2.0
Green
15.0%
98 seats
▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
84 seats
▼ 1.0
Other
6.0%
39 seats
▲ 1.0
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats
▼ 1.0
2 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 18.0% | 117 |
| Conservative | 19.0% | 124 |
| Liberal Democrats | 13.0% | 84 |
| Reform UK | 26.0% | 169 |
| Green | 15.0% | 98 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 6.0% | 39 |