YouGov for The Times / Sky News
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 161 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Conservative on 23.0% (154 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
24.0%
161 seats
▼ 5.0
Conservative
23.0%
154 seats
▲ 1.0
Reform UK
21.0%
141 seats
▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
12.0%
80 seats
▲ 2.0
Green
11.0%
74 seats
▲ 2.0
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
▲ 3.0
Other parties
3.0%
20 seats
▲ 3.0
2 more
Restore Britain
2.0%
13 seats
▲ 2.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats
▲ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 24.0% | 161 |
| Conservative | 23.0% | 154 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12.0% | 80 |
| Reform UK | 21.0% | 141 |
| Green | 11.0% | 74 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 7 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 2.0% | 13 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 0.0% | 0 |