Westminster voting intention figures
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 160 of 650 seats on 23.0%, ahead of Labour on 22.0% (154 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
23.0%
160 seats
▼ 1.0
Labour
22.0%
154 seats
▼ 6.0
Conservative
19.0%
133 seats
▼ 3.0
Green
13.0%
91 seats
▲ 5.0
Liberal Democrats
12.0%
84 seats
―
SNP
3.0%
21 seats
▲ 1.0
Other parties
1.0%
7 seats
▲ 1.0
1 more
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats
▲ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 22.0% | 154 |
| Conservative | 19.0% | 133 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12.0% | 84 |
| Reform UK | 23.0% | 160 |
| Green | 13.0% | 91 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 21 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 7 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 0.0% | 0 |