YouGov voting intention, 04 August 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 177 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Labour on 21.0% (138 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
27.0%
177 seats
▼ 2.0
Labour
21.0%
138 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
112 seats
―
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98 seats
▲ 1.0
Green
11.0%
72 seats
―
Other
4.0%
26 seats
―
Other parties
4.0%
27 seats
―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 21.0% | 138 |
| Conservative | 17.0% | 112 |
| Liberal Democrats | 15.0% | 98 |
| Reform UK | 27.0% | 177 |
| Green | 11.0% | 72 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 7 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 26 |