Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
177 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Labour on 21.0% (138 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 04 August 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
27.0%
177 seats▼ 2.0
Labour
21.0%
138 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
112 seats―
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98 seats▲ 1.0
Green
11.0%
72 seats―
Other
4.0%
26 seats―
Other parties
4.0%
27 seats―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 28 Jul 2025.
Reform UK27.0%
177 seats
▼ 2.0
Labour21.0%
138 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative17.0%
112 seats
―
Liberal Democrats15.0%
98 seats
▲ 1.0
Green11.0%
72 seats
―
Other4.0%
26 seats
―
SNP3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
7 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
21.0%
138
Conservative
17.0%
112
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98
Reform UK
27.0%
177
Green
11.0%
72
SNP
3.0%
20
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
4.0%
26
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,813 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).