YouGov voting intention, 21 July 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 175 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Labour on 23.0% (150 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
27.0%
175 seats
▼ 1.0
Labour
23.0%
150 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
111 seats
―
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98 seats
▼ 1.0
Green
11.0%
72 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
―
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats
―
2 more
Other
3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 23.0% | 150 |
| Conservative | 17.0% | 111 |
| Liberal Democrats | 15.0% | 98 |
| Reform UK | 27.0% | 175 |
| Green | 11.0% | 72 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 3.0% | 19 |