YouGov for The Times / Sky News
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 164 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Labour on 24.0% (158 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
25.0%
164 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour
24.0%
158 seats
▼ 4.0
Conservative
19.0%
125 seats
▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
12.0%
79 seats
▲ 2.0
Green
11.0%
72 seats
▲ 1.0
Restore Britain
3.0%
20 seats
▲ 3.0
Other parties
5.0%
32 seats
▼ 5.0
3 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Other
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 4.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 24.0% | 158 |
| Conservative | 19.0% | 125 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12.0% | 79 |
| Reform UK | 25.0% | 164 |
| Green | 11.0% | 72 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 3.0% | 20 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 2.0% | 13 |