UK FACT CHECK POLITICS
UK FACT CHECK POLITICS
Voting intention Labour Lab 30% Reform Ref 24% Con Con 22% Green Grn 8% Lib Dem LD 7% Poll tracker
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Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now for PLMR

Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 186 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 21.0% (139 seats).

Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now Fieldwork 02 October 2026 View original source
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Labour
28.0%
186 seats ▼ 2.0
Reform UK
21.0%
139 seats ▼ 4.0
Conservative
18.0%
119 seats ▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
10.0%
66 seats ▲ 10.0
Green
9.0%
60 seats ▼ 2.0
Restore Britain
8.0%
53 seats ▲ 8.0
Other parties
4.0%
27 seats ▲ 4.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats ▲ 3.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats ▲ 1.0

Vote share

Share of the vote, with movement since Opinium on 02 Oct 2026.

Full results for all parties
Party Vote share Projected seats
Labour 28.0% 186
Conservative 18.0% 119
Liberal Democrats 10.0% 66
Reform UK 21.0% 139
Green 9.0% 60
SNP 3.0% 20
Plaid Cymru 1.0% 7
Sinn Féin 0.0% 0
DUP 0.0% 0
SDLP 0.0% 0
Alliance 0.0% 0
UUP 0.0% 0
Alba 0.0% 0
Restore Britain 8.0% 53
Independent 0.0% 0
Other 0.0% 0

Added automatically by the poll updater. Fieldwork 2026-09-25 to 2026-10-02.