Trajectory Partnership
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 193 of 650 seats on 30.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 22.0% (142 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
30.0%
193 seats
▲ 5.0
Reform UK
22.0%
142 seats
―
Conservative
21.0%
135 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
10.0%
64 seats
―
Green
8.0%
52 seats
▼ 3.0
Restore Britain
6.0%
39 seats
▲ 6.0
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats
▼ 6.0
3 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Other
1.0%
6 seats
▼ 5.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 30.0% | 193 |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 135 |
| Liberal Democrats | 10.0% | 64 |
| Reform UK | 22.0% | 142 |
| Green | 8.0% | 52 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 6.0% | 39 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 1.0% | 6 |