Westminster Voting intention
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 164 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 22.0% (150 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
24.0%
164 seats
▼ 3.0
Reform UK
22.0%
150 seats
▼ 2.0
Conservative
21.0%
144 seats
▼ 1.0
Green
12.0%
82 seats
▲ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
11.0%
75 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
21 seats
―
Other parties
2.0%
14 seats
▲ 2.0
1 more
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
14 seats
▲ 2.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 24.0% | 164 |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 144 |
| Liberal Democrats | 11.0% | 75 |
| Reform UK | 22.0% | 150 |
| Green | 12.0% | 82 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 21 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2.0% | 14 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 0.0% | 0 |