Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
187 of 650 seats on 29.0%, ahead of Labour on 22.0% (142 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 28 July 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
29.0%
187 seats▲ 2.0
Labour
22.0%
142 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
109 seats―
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90 seats▼ 1.0
Green
11.0%
71 seats―
Other
4.0%
26 seats▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 21 Jul 2025.
Reform UK29.0%
187 seats
▲ 2.0
Labour22.0%
142 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative17.0%
109 seats
―
Liberal Democrats14.0%
90 seats
▼ 1.0
Green11.0%
71 seats
―
Other4.0%
26 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
22.0%
142
Conservative
17.0%
109
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90
Reform UK
29.0%
187
Green
11.0%
71
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
4.0%
26
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,637 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).