Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
158 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Conservative on 18.0% (118 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 23 February 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
24.0%
158 seats―
Labour
18.0%
118 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
18.0%
118 seats―
Green
17.0%
112 seats―
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92 seats▲ 1.0
Other
4.0%
26 seats―
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 16 Feb 2026.
Reform UK24.0%
158 seats
―
Labour18.0%
118 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative18.0%
118 seats
―
Green17.0%
112 seats
―
Liberal Democrats14.0%
92 seats
▲ 1.0
Other4.0%
26 seats
―
SNP3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
18.0%
118
Conservative
18.0%
118
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92
Reform UK
24.0%
158
Green
17.0%
112
SNP
3.0%
20
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
4.0%
26
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,712 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).