YouGov for The Times/Sky News
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 153 of 650 seats on 23.0%, ahead of Conservative on 21.0% (139 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
23.0%
153 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative
21.0%
139 seats
―
Reform UK
21.0%
139 seats
▼ 1.0
Green
14.0%
93 seats
▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
12.0%
80 seats
―
Restore Britain
4.0%
26 seats
▲ 1.0
Other parties
3.0%
20 seats
▼ 1.0
2 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 23.0% | 153 |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 139 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12.0% | 80 |
| Reform UK | 21.0% | 139 |
| Green | 14.0% | 93 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 7 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 4.0% | 26 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 0.0% | 0 |