Westminister Voting Intentions - 21 August 2026
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 198 of 650 seats on 29.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 27.0% (185 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
29.0%
198 seats
▲ 7.0
Reform UK
27.0%
185 seats
▲ 3.0
Conservative
21.0%
143 seats
▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
8.0%
55 seats
▼ 4.0
Green
8.0%
55 seats
▼ 5.0
SNP
2.0%
14 seats
▼ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 29.0% | 198 |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 143 |
| Liberal Democrats | 8.0% | 55 |
| Reform UK | 27.0% | 185 |
| Green | 8.0% | 55 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 14 |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0% | 0 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 0.0% | 0 |