Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
175 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Labour on 24.0% (156 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 16 June 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
27.0%
175 seats▼ 2.0
Labour
24.0%
156 seats▲ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
111 seats―
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98 seats―
Green
10.0%
65 seats―
SNP
4.0%
26 seats▲ 1.0
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats―
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats▼ 1.0
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 09 Jun 2025.
Reform UK27.0%
175 seats
▼ 2.0
Labour24.0%
156 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative17.0%
111 seats
―
Liberal Democrats15.0%
98 seats
―
Green10.0%
65 seats
―
SNP4.0%
26 seats
▲ 1.0
Other2.0%
13 seats
▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
▼ 1.0
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
24.0%
156
Conservative
17.0%
111
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98
Reform UK
27.0%
175
Green
10.0%
65
SNP
4.0%
26
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
2.0%
13
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,665 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).