Survation
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 190 of 650 seats on 29.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 23.0% (151 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
29.0%
190 seats
▲ 1.0
Reform UK
23.0%
151 seats
▲ 4.0
Conservative
19.0%
125 seats
▼ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
9.0%
59 seats
▲ 1.0
Green
9.0%
59 seats
▼ 5.0
Other
4.0%
26 seats
▲ 4.0
Other parties
6.0%
40 seats
▲ 6.0
3 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
▲ 3.0
Restore Britain
2.0%
13 seats
▲ 2.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats
▲ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 29.0% | 190 |
| Conservative | 19.0% | 125 |
| Liberal Democrats | 9.0% | 59 |
| Reform UK | 23.0% | 151 |
| Green | 9.0% | 59 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 7 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 2.0% | 13 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 26 |