Survation
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 185 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 24.0% (164 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
27.0%
185 seats
―
Reform UK
24.0%
164 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative
19.0%
130 seats
―
Green
10.0%
68 seats
▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
9.0%
62 seats
▼ 1.0
Other
4.0%
27 seats
▲ 4.0
Other parties
2.0%
14 seats
▲ 2.0
1 more
SNP
2.0%
14 seats
▲ 2.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 27.0% | 185 |
| Conservative | 19.0% | 130 |
| Liberal Democrats | 9.0% | 62 |
| Reform UK | 24.0% | 164 |
| Green | 10.0% | 68 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 14 |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0% | 0 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 27 |