YouGov voting intention, 30 June 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 171 of 650 seats on 26.0%, ahead of Labour on 24.0% (157 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
26.0%
171 seats
▼ 1.0
Labour
24.0%
157 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
112 seats
―
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
105 seats
―
Green
10.0%
66 seats
―
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
―
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats
▼ 1.0
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 24.0% | 157 |
| Conservative | 17.0% | 112 |
| Liberal Democrats | 16.0% | 105 |
| Reform UK | 26.0% | 171 |
| Green | 10.0% | 66 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 2.0% | 13 |