Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
182 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Labour on 21.0% (137 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 18 August 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
28.0%
182 seats―
Labour
21.0%
137 seats―
Conservative
18.0%
117 seats▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98 seats▼ 1.0
Green
10.0%
65 seats―
Other
4.0%
26 seats▼ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 11 Aug 2025.
Reform UK28.0%
182 seats
―
Labour21.0%
137 seats
―
Conservative18.0%
117 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats15.0%
98 seats
▼ 1.0
Green10.0%
65 seats
―
Other4.0%
26 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
21.0%
137
Conservative
18.0%
117
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98
Reform UK
28.0%
182
Green
10.0%
65
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
4.0%
26
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,743 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).